Short-term wind power forecasting using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system combined with evolutionary particle swarm optimization, wavelet transform and mutual information

• Type: Article in International Scientific Journal
• Date: 2015

Authors

Osorio, GJ (Author) Other; Matias, JCO (Author) Other; Catalao, JPS (Author) FEUP

Journal

Title: Renewable Energy

Vol. 75

Pages: 301-307

ISSN: 0960-1481

Publisher: Elsevier

Indexing

ISI Web of Knowledge - 167 Citations

Scopus - 186 Citations

Other information

Authenticus ID: P-009-X75

DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2014.09.058

Abstract (EN): The non-stationary and stochastic nature of wind power reveals itself a difficult task to forecast and manage. In this context, with the continuous increment of wind farms and their capacity production in Portugal, there is an increasing need to develop new forecasting tools with enhanced capabilities. On the one hand, it is crucial to achieve higher accuracy and less uncertainty in the predictions. On the other hand, the computational burden should be kept low to enable fast operational decisions. Hence, this paper proposes a new hybrid evolutionary-adaptive methodology for wind power forecasting in the short-term, successfully combining mutual information, wavelet transform, evolutionary particle swarm optimization, and the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system. The strength of this paper is the integration of already existing models and algorithms, which jointly show an advancement over present state of the art. The results obtained show a significant improvement over previously reported methodologies.

Language: English

Type (Professor's evaluation): Scientific

No. of pages: 7