Planeamento e Prospetiva Territorial

Code:

MRCOT054

Acronym:

PP_TE

Keywords
Classification	Keyword
OFICIAL	Economic Geography

Instance: 2015/2016 - 2S

Active?	Yes
Responsible unit:	Department of Geography
Course/CS Responsible:	Masters in Hazards, Cities and Spatial Planning

Cycles of Study/Courses

Acronym	No. of Students	Study Plan	Curricular Years	Credits UCN	Credits ECTS	Contact hours	Total Time
MRCOT	14	MRCOT - Study Plan	1	-	6	54	162

Teaching language

Suitable for English-speaking students

Objectives

 
1.Use properly terms and concepts associated with the foresight.
2. Understand national and international examples of foresight territorial application
3. Be aware of the evolving trends and challenges for the future, keeping a reflective
and receptive attitude towards the changes
4. Dominate some of the foresight methods and tools
5. Produce scenarios and strategic objectives, using appropriate tools

Learning outcomes and competences

1.Use properly terms and concepts associated with the foresight: megatrends; weak signals; wildcards; intents.
2. Understand national and international examples of foresight territorial application: France, Portugal; Netherlands, United Kingdom.
3. Be aware of the evolving trends and challenges for the future, keeping a reflective: climate change, security, demographic changes, energy efficiencies, economic crisis, financial crisis.
and receptive attitude towards the changes
4. Dominate some of the foresight methods and tools: structural analysis; MACTOR Method, Morphological analysis, Delphi survey, Régnier abacus, Probabilistic crossed impact, Relevance trees, Multipol
5. Produce scenarios and strategic objectives.

Working method

Presencial

Program

1. STRATEGIC FORESIGHT: PRINCIPLES, CONCEPTS AND APPLICATIONS

1.1. Strategic Foresight
- Backgrounds and schools of thought
- Concepts and methodological tools
1.2. Regional Foresight
- Distinctive elements of territorial foresight
- Exploration and comparative analysis of International Territorial foresight Projects
-Design and Territorial Foresight Projects Organization
1.3. The Future of Strategic Foresight

2. TRENDS AND CHALLENGES IN THE WORLD AND IN EUROPE

2.1.Heavy trends and crucial uncertainties on Economy and Global World
2.2. Portugal and the Future of Europe: Challenges and Perspectives

3. NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL PROJECTS

International scenarios projects
Territorial prospective scenarios

4. METHODS AND STRATEGIC FORESIGHT TOOLS

4.1 - Identify the key variables
4.2 – Actors strategies
4.3 - Possibilities and reduce uncertainty
4.4 - Evaluating choices and strategic options


5. "SCENARIO THINKING" PROJECT: ANTICIPATION FOR ACTION

- Presenting the Corporate & Industry Foresight Tool Box
- Scenario Planning

Mandatory literature

Godet, Michel; Prospective et planification stratégique. ISBN: 2-7178-0939-2

Complementary Bibliography

ULL; Futuribles. ISBN: 0337-307X

Teaching methods and learning activities

- Lectures
- Students in research group and select international territorial foresight experiences and
present in class for the whole class
- Students in group research and explore the methods used in foresight
- In teams, students explore and experience the various steps of the Scenario Thinking Approach, including the definition of the "skeleton" of the scenarios and then the construction of the scenarios themselves, using a set of techniques (eg, dynamic systems, mash-up storyboardings, construction of narratives, and actors game analysis). Students will also explore different ways of presenting scenarios and their implications in terms of strategic options.

Evaluation Type

Distributed evaluation with final exam

Assessment Components

Designation	Weight (%)
Teste	40,00
Trabalho escrito	30,00
Trabalho laboratorial	30,00
Total:	100,00

Amount of time allocated to each course unit

Designation	Time (hours)
Estudo autónomo	54,00
Frequência das aulas	54,00
Trabalho de investigação	54,00
Total:	162,00

Eligibility for exams

Students must have attendance in 75% of classes.

Calculation formula of final grade

The assessment is carried out by final exam (40%) and 3 projects (group works - 60%).

Project 1. International foresight examples (oral presentation and power point)

Project 2. Animate and synthesize one of the conference "Trends and challenges
for the future" (questions at the conference; 1 text 3páginas)

Project 3. Foresight Laboratory (participation in the sessions and a summary dossier 10 pages).