Project Appraisal
Keywords |
Classification |
Keyword |
OFICIAL |
Quantitative Methods and Management |
Instance: 2012/2013 - 1S
Cycles of Study/Courses
Acronym |
No. of Students |
Study Plan |
Curricular Years |
Credits UCN |
Credits ECTS |
Contact hours |
Total Time |
MIEIC |
12 |
Syllabus since 2009/2010 |
5 |
- |
6 |
56 |
162 |
Teaching language
Portuguese
Objectives
This course unit aims to provide students with knowledge of basic methodologies for the analysis of the financial and economic feasibility of investment projects in certainty and uncertainty conditions.
After the completion of the course unit, students should be capable of:
- justifying a decision or real investments
- designing a business plan
Inf: the Business Plan will be based on Portuguese relevant legislation, so basic accounting concepts and basic financial mathematics are needed.
Program
I – Introduction
1- An overview on project evaluation; description of project evaluation; concept of real investment; the importance of evaluation; basic evaluation methodology; project typology; life cycle and project stages .
2- Business plan: description; Basic components of a business plan; Structure.
II- Project elaboration and evaluation
3- Feasibility studies; project background: analysis; resource and technical feasibility analysis; market analysis; economic and financial analysis; legal procedures; organizational and human analysis; political, social and environmental analysis.
4- The documents of an economic and financial study; investment plans; operational plan; financing plan.
III- Economic and financial evaluation of a project
5- Cash flow (CF) analysis; concept of projects’ cash flow; basic principles of measuring and estimating cash flow; cash flow investment analysis; project side vs. entrepreneur side; cash flow estimation in a situation of inflation.
6- Decision criteria: decision criteria no update: recovery, return rate, net present value (NPV). Decision criteria update: internal rate of return (IRR), profitability index, annuity criteria, and macroeconomic indicators.
7- Project cost of capital; cost of capital; weighted average cost of capital for company: why and how to use it; the interaction of investment and financing decisions; estimate the cost of financing sources
III- Risk and investment decisions
8- Risk and uncertainty evaluation; basic concepts of risk, risk and uncertainty components; empirical methods in risk management; decision theory; simulation methods- sensitivity analysis, alternative scenarios, breakeven point analysis; Monte Carlo simulation; decision trees; capital asset pricing model (CAPM) – risk management; reference to real options.
Mandatory literature
Maria Dulce Soares Lopes;
Elaboração e análise de projetos de investimento. ISBN: 978-972-752-134-0
Complementary Bibliography
Shapiro, Alan C.;
Capital budgeting and investment analysis. ISBN: 0-13-066090-6
Teaching methods and learning activities
The theoretical part of this course is supported by transparencies or data show. Theoretical lectures are complemented with case analysis and practical classes, to which experience in the analysis of investments from the team work will be made part.
keywords
Social sciences > Economics > Management studies > Financial management
Evaluation Type
Distributed evaluation with final exam
Assessment Components
Description |
Type |
Time (hours) |
Weight (%) |
End date |
Attendance (estimated) |
Participação presencial |
42,00 |
|
|
|
Trabalho escrito |
40,00 |
|
|
|
Exame |
3,00 |
|
|
|
Total: |
- |
0,00 |
|
Amount of time allocated to each course unit
Description |
Type |
Time (hours) |
End date |
|
Estudo autónomo |
40 |
|
|
Total: |
40,00 |
|
Calculation formula of final grade
The assessment will be based on a closed book exam and the execution and discussion of a group assignment;: or by final exam only (your choice at the begining of the course). They will be graded as follows:
Assignment 40%; Final exam 60%, with minimum mark of 7(out of 20); or final exam 100%
FG = 0.60 x GFE + 0.40 x GGA, in which:
FG = Final Grade
FEC = Grade of the Final Exam
GAC = Grade of the Group Assignment
Examinations or Special Assignments
Group Assignment- Business Plan
-Groups of 4/6students to be defined at the beginning of the semester
-2 reports have to be written (one at the middle of the semester and another at the end)
- Oral presentation
Special assessment (TE, DA, ...)
Final exam (100%) on specific dates for these students.
Classification improvement
Final Exam (100%)