Forecasting

Code:

EEC0118

Acronym:

TPRE

Keywords
Classification	Keyword
OFICIAL	Power

Instance: 2012/2013 - 1S

Active?	Yes
E-learning page:	http://moodle.up.pt/
Responsible unit:	Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering
Course/CS Responsible:	Master in Electrical and Computers Engineering

Cycles of Study/Courses

Acronym	No. of Students	Study Plan	Curricular Years	Credits UCN	Credits ECTS	Contact hours	Total Time
MIEEC	50	Syllabus (Transition) since 2010/2011	5	-	6	63	162
		Syllabus	5	-	6	63	162

Teaching language

Portuguese

Objectives

Knowledge on different forecasting techniques and on the application specificity of forecasting electricity consumption, electricity markets prices and energy production.

Learning outcomes and competences

Competences on building forecasting model based on temporal series analysis. Ability to implement forecasting models based on neural networks. Competences on the performance evaluation of forecasting models. Knowledge and practice on available computational applications for building forecasting models.

Working method

Presencial

Program

Forecasting ntechniques: Regression models. Time series analysis. Forecasting based on computational intelligence techniques. Load forecasting for short, medium and lon term. Wind and solar forecasting. Energy market prices forecasting.

Mandatory literature

Makridakis, Spyros; Forecasting

Teaching methods and learning activities

Theory classes supported by multimedia.

Pratical classes based on the analysis of typical examples and development of field works.

Software

Matlab
Excel
SPSS 17.0

keywords

Physical sciences > Computer science > Systems design > Neural networks
Physical sciences > Mathematics > Computational mathematics > Computational models
Technological sciences > Technology > Electrical technology
Technological sciences > Engineering > Electrical engineering

Evaluation Type

Distributed evaluation without final exam

Assessment Components

Description	Type	Time (hours)	Weight (%)	End date
Attendance (estimated)	Participação presencial	56,00
	Trabalho de campo	20,00	20,00	2012-10-26
	Trabalho de campo	35,00	30,00	2012-11-25
	Trabalho de campo	35,00	30,00	2012-12-21
	Defesa pública de dissertação, de relatório de projeto ou estágio, ou de tese	2,00	20,00	2013-01-11
	Total:	-	100,00

Calculation formula of final grade

80% TP + 20% SD

TP = average of practical field works classification

SD = works discussion

Minimun required for easch component (TP e SD) = 50%