State space analysis of forest fires

• Tipo: Artigo em Revista Científica Internacional
• Data: 2016

Autores

António Mendes Lopes (Autor) FEUP; Tenreiro Machado, JAT (Autor) Outra

Revista

Título: JOURNAL OF VIBRATION AND CONTROL

Vol. 22

Páginas: 2153-2164

ISSN: 1077-5463

Indexação

ISI Web of Knowledge - 7 Citações

Scopus - 8 Citações

Outras Informações

ID Authenticus: P-00K-H32

DOI: 10.1177/1077546314565687

Abstract (EN): This paper studies forest fires from the perspective of dynamical systems. Burnt area, precipitation and atmospheric temperatures are interpreted as state variables of a complex system and the correlations between them are investigated by means of different mathematical tools. First, we use mutual information to reveal potential relationships in the data. Second, we adopt the state space portrait to characterize the system's behavior. Third, we compare the annual state space curves and we apply clustering and visualization tools to unveil long-range patterns. We use forest fire data for Portugal, covering the years 1980-2003. The territory is divided into two regions (North and South), characterized by different climates and vegetation. The adopted methodology represents a new viewpoint in the context of forest fires, shedding light on a complex phenomenon that needs to be better understood in order to mitigate its devastating consequences, at both economical and environmental levels.

Idioma: Inglês

Tipo (Avaliação Docente): Científica

Nº de páginas: 12