Probabilistic ramp detection and forecasting for wind power prediction

• Tipo: Capítulo ou Parte de Livro
• Data: 2013

Autores

C. Ferreira (Autor) Outra; J. Gama (Autor) Outra; Vladimiro Miranda (Autor) FEUP; Audun Botterud (Autor) Outra

Livro

Título: Reliability and Risk Evaluation of Wind Integrated Power Systems

Páginas: 29-44

Indexação

Scopus - 20 Citações

Classificação Científica

FOS: Ciências da engenharia e tecnologias > Engenharia electrotécnica, electrónica e informática

CORDIS: Ciências Tecnológicas > Engenharia > Engenharia electrotécnica

Outras Informações

ID Authenticus: P-00Q-VPH

DOI: 10.1007/978-81-322-0987-4_3

Abstract (EN): This chapter proposes a new way to detect and represent the probability of ramping events in short-term wind power forecasting. Ramping is one notable characteristic in a time series associated with a drastic change in value in a set of consecutive time steps. Two properties of a ramp event forecast, that is, slope and phase error, are important from the point of view of the system operator (SO): they have important implications in the decisions associated with unit commitment or generation scheduling, especially if there is thermal generation dominance in the power system. Unit commitment decisions, generally taken some 12-48 h in advance, must prepare the generation schedule in order to smoothly accommodate forecasted drastic changes in wind power availability. © Springer India 2013.

Idioma: Inglês

Tipo (Avaliação Docente): Científica