Setting the Maximum Import Net Transfer Capacity under Extreme RES Integration Scenarios

• Tipo: Artigo em Livro de Atas de Conferência Internacional
• Data: 2016

Autores

Manuel Matos (Autor) FEUP; Bessa, RJ (Autor) Outra; Goncalves, C (Autor) Outra; Cavalcante, L (Autor) Outra; Vladimiro Miranda (Autor) FEUP; Machado, N (Autor) Outra; Marques, P (Autor) Outra; Matos, F (Autor) Outra

Ata de Conferência Internacional

Título: 2016 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROBABILISTIC METHODS APPLIED TO POWER SYSTEMS (PMAPS)

International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)

Beijing, PEOPLES R CHINA, OCT 16-20, 2016

Indexação

ISI Web of Knowledge - 0 Citações

Scopus - 6 Citações

Outras Informações

ID Authenticus: P-00M-EMC

DOI: 10.1109/pmaps.2016.7764145

Abstract (EN): In order to reduce the curtailment of renewable generation in periods of low load, operators can limit the import net transfer capacity (NTC) of interconnections. This paper presents a probabilistic approach to support the operator in setting the maximum import NTC value in a way that the risk of curtailment remains below a pre-specified threshold. Main inputs are the probabilistic forecasts of wind power and solar PV generation, and special care is taken regarding the tails of the global margin distribution (all generation all loads and pumping), since the accepted thresholds are generally very low. Two techniques are used for this purpose: interpolation with exponential functions and nonparametric estimation of extreme conditional quantiles using extreme value theory. The methodology is applied to five representative days, where situations ranging from high maximum NTC values to NTC=0 are addressed. Comparison of the two techniques for modeling tails is also comprised.

Idioma: Inglês

Tipo (Avaliação Docente): Científica

Nº de páginas: 7