An Empirical Analysis of the Demographic Trends in Least Developed Countries

• Tipo: Artigo em Revista Científica Internacional
• Data: 2017

Autores

Renuga Nagarajan, N (Autor) Outra; Aurora Teixeira (Autor) FEP; Sandra, ST (Autor) FEP

Revista

Título: Ageing International

Vol. 42

Páginas: 251-273

ISSN: 0163-5158

Editora: Springer Nature

Indexação

Scopus - 6 Citações

Outras Informações

ID Authenticus: P-00M-WZK

DOI: 10.1007/s12126-017-9283-9

Abstract (EN): Ageing is no longer an issue belonging just to developed countries. In the present paper we examine the presence of this phenomenon and its expected evolution in the Least Developed Countries (LDCs), from 1950 to 2100. The empirical work carried out sustains that LDCs are in the process of becoming ageing countries. Indeed, the old age dependency ratio in LDCs is predicted to converge towards that of the most developed countries between 2010 and 2020. Furthermore, results reveal that ageing dynamics varies according to LDCs regions, disclosing that LDCs from Asia are more likely to be ageing first. The results suggest that, unlike developed countries, LDCs will experience the process of demographic burden (ageing) before they could benefit from the demographic dividend (higher proportion of working group and lower proportion of young age group). © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media New York.

Idioma: Inglês

Tipo (Avaliação Docente): Científica