Wind power forecast uncertainty in daily operation of wind park combined with storage

• Tipo: Artigo em Livro de Atas de Conferência Internacional
• Data: 2011

Autores

Keko, H (Autor) Outra; Da Rosa, MA (Autor) Outra; Sumaili, J (Autor) Outra; Vladimiro Miranda (Autor) FEUP

Ata de Conferência Internacional

Título: 2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM 11

Páginas: 773-778

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM 11

Zagreb, 25 May 2011 through 27 May 2011

Indexação

Scopus - 4 Citações

Outras Informações

ID Authenticus: P-007-ZX3

DOI: 10.1109/eem.2011.5953114

Abstract (EN): The inevitable wind power forecast errors result in differences between forecasted and observed wind power. To mitigate their economic impact, combining the wind power with pumped hydro energy storage may be used. In order to deliver a joint operational strategy for a wind power plant combined with storage, one requires reliable wind power forecasts. The forecasts commonly only consist of a single-value forecast (point forecast) for each look-ahead time. However, additional representative information concerning the forecast uncertainty may be required. In this paper, the influence of uncertainty representation daily operation for a wind power plant combined with pumped hydro storage is discussed. The paper illustrates how uncertainty representations such as Gaussian uncorrelated errors may also not be satisfactory. Based on a case study with a wind power plant combined with pumped hydro storage, organized for illustrative purposes, the paper demonstrates the need to have uncertainty representation including cross-period dependencies, in order to define a correct operation policy. © 2011 IEEE.

Idioma: Inglês

Tipo (Avaliação Docente): Científica