An Agent-Based MicMac Model for Forecasting of the Portuguese Population

• Tipo: Artigo em Livro de Atas de Conferência Internacional
• Data: 2015

Autores

Renato Fernandes (Autor) Outra; Pedro Campos (Autor) FEP; Rita Gaio, AR (Autor) FCUP

Ata de Conferência Internacional

Título: PROGRESS IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

Páginas: 702-707

17th Portuguese Conference on Artificial Intelligence (EPIA)

Univ Coimbra, Coimbra, PORTUGAL, SEP 08-11, 2015

Indexação

ISI Web of Knowledge - 0 Citações

Scopus - 1 Citação

Classificação Científica

FOS: Ciências exactas e naturais > Ciências da computação e da informação

Outras Informações

ID Authenticus: P-00G-TS4

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-23485-4_71

Abstract (EN): Simulation is often used to forecast human populations. In this paper we use a novel approach by combining Micro-Macro (MicMac) models into an Agent-Based perspective to simulate and forecast the behavior of the Portuguese population. The models include migrations and three scenarios corresponding to three different expected economic growth rates. We conclude that the increase in the number of emigrants leads to a reduction of the Portuguese women that are in the fertile age. This justifies the decrease of births and therefore the general decrease of the total Portuguese Population.

Idioma: Inglês

Tipo (Avaliação Docente): Científica

Nº de páginas: 6