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Equations defining probability tree models

Title
Equations defining probability tree models
Type
Article in International Scientific Journal
Year
2020
Authors
Duarte E.
(Author)
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Görgen C.
(Author)
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Journal
Vol. 99
Pages: 127-146
ISSN: 0747-7171
Publisher: Elsevier
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Authenticus ID: P-00X-9EK
Abstract (EN): Staged trees or coloured probability tree models are statistical models coding conditional independence between events depicted in a tree graph. They include the very important class of Bayesian networks as a special case and provide a straightforward graphical tool for handling additional context-specific relationships. In this paper, we study the algebraic properties of their ideal of model invariants. We hereby find that the tree also provides a straightforward combinatorial tool to generalise the existing geometric characterisation of decomposable graphical models and Bayesian networks. In particular, from a staged tree we can directly understand the interplay between local and global sum-to-one conditions, read the generators of that ideal, and determine conditions under which the model is a toric variety intersected with the probability simplex.
Language: English
Type (Professor's evaluation): Scientific
No. of pages: 19
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