Suppression or Prevention: Modeling forest fire management using System Dynamics

• Type: Summary of Presentation in an International Conference
• Date: 2011

Authors

Collins, R. (Author) Other; de Neufville, R. (Author) Other; Claro, J. (Author) FEUP; Oliveira, T. (Author) Other

Conference proceedings International

Title: INFORMS Annual Meeting 2011

Pages: 198-198

INFORMS Annual Meeting 2011

Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, November 13-16, 2011

Scientific classification

FOS: Engineering and technology > Other engineering and technologies

Other information

Abstract (EN): The System Dynamics model provides an aggregate depiction of the physical and political dynamics of forest fire management. It evaluates suppression and prevention mixes of management resources in terms of total burned area. Assuming a finite budget, preliminary results indicate that under some mixes the system falls into a trap of short-term corrective action via increased fire suppression that diminishes fuel management. The result is more frequent and severe fire seasons.

Language: English

Type (Professor's evaluation): Scientific