Resumo (PT):
Abstract (EN):
Urban challenges, such as climate change, economic development and land conversion, are increasing
and attracting more attention, consequently widening the complexity of urban planning and decisionmaking processes. Nature-based solutions (NBS) are considered to contribute to resolving these
emerging urban problems. While models are available to assess the impacts of NBS on urban heat, air
quality, flooding and water quality, there are few models that evaluate their socio-economic impacts.
Even though statistical models could provide insight in their actual (ex-post) socio-economic impacts,
simulation models represent a key tool to urban planning as they provide the opportunity to assess the
expected (ex-ante) socio-economic impacts of NBS and, thus, allow better informed decision making
before implementation. This paper provides, first, a review of socio-economic models that can assess
the impact of NBS (either statistical or simulation) and, second, a review of socio-economic models
that assess the effectiveness of policy instruments to steer urban development patterns. Results show
that there is a lack of spatially explicit simulation models with the ability to assess the socio-economic
impacts of different NBS. Most models that assess socio-economic impacts include statistical (expost), non-spatially explicit or use non-European case studies. Socio-economic impacts evaluated
include urban sprawl, housing prices and gentrification. Furthermore, there is a lack of models that
have the potential to assess socio-economic impacts of NBS as well as the impact of policy
instruments that influence urban development patterns. Hence, it is concluded that there is need for
simulation models that allow to assess the expected (ex-ante) socio-economic impacts of NBS as well
as the effectiveness of land use policy instruments.
Language:
English
Type (Professor's evaluation):
Scientific