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An Approach for Assessing the Distribution of Reporting Delay in Portuguese AIDS Data

Title
An Approach for Assessing the Distribution of Reporting Delay in Portuguese AIDS Data
Type
Article in International Conference Proceedings Book
Year
2016
Authors
Oliveira, A
(Author)
Other
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Da Costa, JP
(Author)
FCUP
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Conference proceedings International
Pages: 641-649
World Conference on Information Systems and Technologies (WorldCIST)
Recife, BRAZIL, MAR 22-24, 2016
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FOS: Natural sciences > Mathematics
Other information
Authenticus ID: P-00K-AJ6
Abstract (EN): HIV/AIDS epidemic is an important public health problem. The burden of the epidemic is estimated from surveillance systems data. The collected information is incomplete, making the estimation a challenging task and the reported trends often biased. The most common incomplete-data problems, in this kind of data, are due to under diagnosis and reporting delays, mainly in the most recent years. This is a classical problem for imputation methodologies. In this paper we study the distribution of AIDS reporting delays through a mix approach, combining longitudinal K-means with the generalized least squares method. While the former identifies homogeneous delay patterns, the latter estimated longitudinal regression curves. We found that a 2-cluster structure is appropriated to accommodate the heterogeneity in reporting delay on HIV/AIDS data and that the corresponding estimated delay curves are almost stationary over time.
Language: English
Type (Professor's evaluation): Scientific
No. of pages: 9
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