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On the dangers of a simplistic American option simulation valuation method

Title
On the dangers of a simplistic American option simulation valuation method
Type
Article in International Scientific Journal
Year
2010
Authors
Areal, N
(Author)
Other
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Journal
Vol. 16
Pages: 373-379
ISSN: 1351-847X
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Indexing
Publicação em ISI Web of Knowledge ISI Web of Knowledge - 0 Citations
Publicação em Scopus Scopus - 0 Citations
Other information
Authenticus ID: P-003-AT4
Abstract (EN): Chen and Shen [Chen, A.-S., and P.-F. Shen. 2003. Computational complexity analysis of least-squares Monte Carlo (LSM) for pricing US derivatives. Applied Economics Letters 10: 223-9] argue that we can improve the least squares Monte Carlo method (LSMC) to value American options by removing the least squares regression module. This would make it not only faster but also more accurate. We demonstrate, using a large sample of 2500 put options, that the proposed algorithm - the perfect foresight method (PFM) - is, as argued by the authors, faster than the LSMC algorithm but, contrary to what they state, it is not more accurate than the LSMC. In fact, the PFM algorithm incorrectly prices American options. We therefore, do not recommend the use of the PFM.
Language: English
Type (Professor's evaluation): Scientific
No. of pages: 7
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