Impact of refugees on wages and economic growth in a model with inflation

• Type: Article in International Scientific Journal
• Date: 2024

Authors

Ana Rita Gomes (Author) FEP; Óscar Afonso (Author) FEP; vasconcelos, pb (Author) FEP

Journal

Title: Applied Economics

ISSN: 0003-6846

Publisher: Taylor & Francis

Indexing

ISI Web of Knowledge - 5 Citations

Scopus - 1 Citation

Other information

Authenticus ID: P-00Y-07M

DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176451

Abstract (EN): This paper assesses how the influx of skilled and unskilled refugees affects the technological-knowledge-bias and, consequently, the skill premium in host communities, looking in particular at the case of Poland following the war in Ukraine. We use a dynamic endogenous R&D general equilibrium model, in which labour endowments are related to the direction (or bias) of technological knowledge, which in turn drives the dynamics of key economic variables. With price channel dominance, the shock of the war causes an increase in the technological-knowledge-bias and thus the skills premium, given the increased supply of unskilled labour. Fiscal policy, driven by country governments and materialized through direct and indirect subsidies to R&D activity, has stronger effects on the growth rate when applied to unskilled workers. Monetary policy, driven by the central bank through a decline in the nominal interest rate, influences R&D activity through liquidity constraints and is limited by the zero nominal interest rate. To promote competitiveness and growth, a fiscal policy that subsidizes unskilled workers must be promoted.

Language: English

Type (Professor's evaluation): Scientific

No. of pages: 27