Influence of wind power ramp rates in short-time wind power forecast error for highly aggregated capacity

• Type: Article in International Conference Proceedings Book
• Date: 2017

Authors

Martínez, SM (Author) Other; Escribano, AH (Author) Other; Carretón, MC (Author) Other; Lázaro, EG (Author) Other; Catalão, JPS (Author) FEUP

Conference proceedings International

Title: 2016 51st International Universities Power Engineering Conference (UPEC)

Pages: 1-6

Indexing

Scopus - 0 Citations

Other information

Authenticus ID: P-00P-SVC

DOI: 10.1109/upec.2016.8114094

Abstract (EN): Significant wind power ramps have a remarkable influence on the integration of wind power. Their variability and uncertainty affect to the wind power forecast increasing the error and reducing the reliability in the continued operation of the power system. Ramp events are considered the main source of forecasting error and their study is imperative for an improvement of prediction tools. In this aspect, the first steps to achieve a study of the influence are identifying, grouping and temporal characterizing of the ramp events. This paper develops a methodology for wind power ramp events recognition in order to analyze the relationship between these events and the accuracy of the wind power forecast system according with two criteria: maximum forecast deviation and mean magnitude error. The methodology is validated using real data from the highly aggregated Spanish power system and short time timescale forecasting values. © 2016 IEEE.

Language: English

Type (Professor's evaluation): Scientific