Setting the Maximum Import Net Transfer Capacity under Extreme RES Integration Scenarios

• Type: Article in International Conference Proceedings Book
• Date: 2016

Authors

Manuel Matos (Author) FEUP; Bessa, RJ (Author) Other; Goncalves, C (Author) Other; Cavalcante, L (Author) Other; Vladimiro Miranda (Author) FEUP; Machado, N (Author) Other; Marques, P (Author) Other; Matos, F (Author) Other

Conference proceedings International

Title: 2016 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROBABILISTIC METHODS APPLIED TO POWER SYSTEMS (PMAPS)

International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)

Beijing, PEOPLES R CHINA, OCT 16-20, 2016

Indexing

ISI Web of Knowledge - 0 Citations

Scopus - 6 Citations

Other information

Authenticus ID: P-00M-EMC

DOI: 10.1109/pmaps.2016.7764145

Abstract (EN): In order to reduce the curtailment of renewable generation in periods of low load, operators can limit the import net transfer capacity (NTC) of interconnections. This paper presents a probabilistic approach to support the operator in setting the maximum import NTC value in a way that the risk of curtailment remains below a pre-specified threshold. Main inputs are the probabilistic forecasts of wind power and solar PV generation, and special care is taken regarding the tails of the global margin distribution (all generation all loads and pumping), since the accepted thresholds are generally very low. Two techniques are used for this purpose: interpolation with exponential functions and nonparametric estimation of extreme conditional quantiles using extreme value theory. The methodology is applied to five representative days, where situations ranging from high maximum NTC values to NTC=0 are addressed. Comparison of the two techniques for modeling tails is also comprised.

Language: English

Type (Professor's evaluation): Scientific

No. of pages: 7