An Empirical Analysis of the Demographic Trends in Least Developed Countries

• Type: Article in International Scientific Journal
• Date: 2017

Authors

Renuga Nagarajan, N (Author) Other; Aurora Teixeira (Author) FEP; Sandra, ST (Author) FEP

Journal

Title: Ageing International

Vol. 42

Pages: 251-273

ISSN: 0163-5158

Publisher: Springer Nature

Indexing

Scopus - 6 Citations

Other information

Authenticus ID: P-00M-WZK

DOI: 10.1007/s12126-017-9283-9

Abstract (EN): Ageing is no longer an issue belonging just to developed countries. In the present paper we examine the presence of this phenomenon and its expected evolution in the Least Developed Countries (LDCs), from 1950 to 2100. The empirical work carried out sustains that LDCs are in the process of becoming ageing countries. Indeed, the old age dependency ratio in LDCs is predicted to converge towards that of the most developed countries between 2010 and 2020. Furthermore, results reveal that ageing dynamics varies according to LDCs regions, disclosing that LDCs from Asia are more likely to be ageing first. The results suggest that, unlike developed countries, LDCs will experience the process of demographic burden (ageing) before they could benefit from the demographic dividend (higher proportion of working group and lower proportion of young age group). © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media New York.

Language: English

Type (Professor's evaluation): Scientific