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FRACTIONAL STATE SPACE ANALYSIS OF TEMPERATURE TIME SERIES

Title
FRACTIONAL STATE SPACE ANALYSIS OF TEMPERATURE TIME SERIES
Type
Article in International Scientific Journal
Year
2015
Authors
Tenreiro Machado, JAT
(Author)
Other
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António Mendes Lopes
(Author)
FEUP
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Journal
Vol. 18
Pages: 1518-1536
ISSN: 1311-0454
Publisher: Walter De Gruyter
Other information
Authenticus ID: P-00J-Y52
Abstract (EN): Atmospheric temperatures characterize Earth as a slow dynamics spatio-temporal system, revealing long-memory and complex behavior. Temperature time series of 54 worldwide geographic locations are considered as representative of the Earth weather dynamics. These data are then interpreted as the time evolution of a set of state space variables describing a complex system. The data are analyzed by means of multidimensional scaling (MDS), and the fractional state space portrait (fSSP). A centennial perspective covering the period from 1910 to 2012 allows MDS to identify similarities among different Earth's locations. The multivariate mutual information is proposed to determine the "optimal" order of the time derivative for the fSSP representation. The fSSP emerges as a valuable alternative for visualizing system dynamics.
Language: English
Type (Professor's evaluation): Scientific
No. of pages: 19
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